Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.017987 0.020950 0.024223 0.028103 0.032572 0.037556 0.043533
2025-11-30 0.013873 0.017787 0.022511 0.028621 0.036299 0.045611 0.057749
2025-12-07 0.010784 0.015027 0.020559 0.028267 0.038695 0.052274 0.071257
2025-12-14 0.008381 0.012577 0.018433 0.027147 0.039724 0.057144 0.083016
2025-12-21 0.006854 0.010990 0.017121 0.026793 0.041569 0.063169 0.096987
2025-12-28 0.006116 0.010400 0.017100 0.028224 0.046086 0.073457 0.118313
2026-01-04 0.005384 0.009667 0.016706 0.028958 0.049549 0.082486 0.138758
2026-01-11 0.004518 0.008548 0.015491 0.028132 0.050317 0.087269 0.152923
2026-01-18 0.003904 0.007755 0.014688 0.027847 0.051882 0.093438 0.169967
2026-01-25 0.003333 0.006939 0.013710 0.027084 0.052458 0.097907 0.184496
2026-02-01 0.002886 0.006282 0.012920 0.026533 0.053303 0.102872 0.200363
2026-02-08 0.002540 0.005767 0.012321 0.026250 0.054582 0.108707 0.218382
2026-02-15 0.002187 0.005189 0.011526 0.025494 0.054900 0.112885 0.233986
2026-02-22 0.002049 0.005058 0.011637 0.026622 0.059164 0.125184 0.266845
2026-03-01 0.001835 0.004715 0.011242 0.026613 0.061054 0.132955 0.291479
2026-03-08 0.001586 0.004245 0.010493 0.025710 0.060892 0.136478 0.307715
2026-03-15 0.001413 0.003931 0.010055 0.025448 0.062105 0.143010 0.331013
2026-03-22 0.001357 0.003910 0.010308 0.026848 0.067283 0.158667 0.375829
2026-03-29 0.001268 0.003783 0.010283 0.027567 0.070944 0.171336 0.415303
2026-04-05 0.001115 0.003452 0.009692 0.026788 0.070896 0.175564 0.435960
2026-04-12 0.001004 0.003219 0.009322 0.026520 0.072071 0.182746 0.464251
2026-04-19 0.000887 0.002948 0.008806 0.025794 0.071985 0.186903 0.485738
2026-04-26 0.000792 0.002725 0.008388 0.025269 0.072352 0.192188 0.510519